Radio interview on Issues Today, plus TOD review of my book

June 16, 2008 at 2:44 am
Contributed by:

Folks,

Just a quick update for you today:

First, my radio interview from May 27 on Issues Today radio is now online. You can download it here: Chris Nelder interview on Issues Today.

Second, my book was reviewed on TheOilDrum.com last week, and a pretty good discussion thread ensued. You can see it here: Robert Rapier’s review of Profit from the Peak

–C

The Impending Oil Export Crisis

June 11, 2008 at 5:29 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,
For those who are interested, my book was reviewed by Robert Rapier on The Oil Drum today, and a fairly interesting discussion ensued.

For this week’s Energy and Capital column, I finally got around to a topic I have long wanted to address: the impending net export crisis. It’s an important one, because it will hit us sooner and harder than the global production peak of oil.

–C
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It Takes Two to Contango

June 6, 2008 at 2:01 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

First, a few updates:

I had two more television appearances this week, the first with Neil Cavuto on Fox Business and the second with the Australian Broadcasting Corp. I’m waiting for video clips, as well as audio clips of my radio interviews in the week(s) prior. So stay tuned for those.

My book Profit from the Peak continues to do well, having been #1 in the categories of “Books > Business & Investing > Investing > Commodities” and “Books > Business & Investing > Investing > Futures” for several weeks now. The publisher says it is continuing to sell well, and the total print run has now reached 25,000. If you haven’t picked up a copy yet, please do! It was also featured last weekend on The Oil Drum.

The world is certainly starting to feel the pain of high oil prices, from the pump to the grocery store. A shoutout to SF columnist Mark Morford for his excellent opinion piece on the subject, Stay home, read, have sex: Will insane gas prices finally pummel us into evolving? How bad will it get?

The question everybody seems to be asking right now is whether speculators are responsible for the recent run-up in oil prices, and if something should be done about it. My column for Energy and Capital this week attempts to answer it. Read on…
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Memorial Day, 2008: The Tipping Point in the Peak Oil Debate

May 28, 2008 at 11:28 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Here is my latest article for Energy and Capital, in which I mark Memorial Day, 2008 as the end of the peak oil “debate,” and the beginning of a new dialogue about the future of energy…

–C

P.S. Speaking of which, my book actually reached #42 on the overall Amazon charts last week…a pretty remarkable thing, considering that only a couple of years ago peak oil was considered a fringe theory!
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Illusions of Candor: Peak Oil Consequences of Bush’s Failed Energy Policies

May 21, 2008 at 8:10 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

 

Profit from the Peak: The End of Oil and the Greatest Investment Event of the Century

First, the good news: My book cracked the top 100 on Amazon today!
Amazon.com Sales Rank: #62 in Books (See Bestsellers in Books)

Popular in these categories: (What’s this?)

#1 in  Books > Business & Investing > Investing > Futures
#1 in  Books > Business & Investing > Investing > Commodities
#2 in  Books > Business & Investing > Popular Economics

I also had a decent short radio interview with CNN today, which was broadcast live and at the top of every hour across the network. I’m still trying to round up an online copy of that…

Moving right along, here’s this week’s article for Energy and Capital.

If you’re a Bush supporter, and your knee-jerk reaction to this article is to dismiss it as mere Bush-bashing, then please look at it again. As far as I am aware, it’s simply the truth.

–C
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Peak Oil and the Rail Revolution

May 20, 2008 at 9:21 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Here’s last week’s article for Energy and Capital, in which I discuss the failing airline industry and the excellent long-term outlook for rail.
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Rockefeller vs. ExxonMobil

May 7, 2008 at 8:00 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

In my latest article for Energy and Capital, I see a turning point for Big Oil in the way that the Rockefeller clan is pushing ExxonMobil to invest in alternative energy.
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My Fox Business appearances are now online

May 7, 2008 at 7:03 am
Contributed by:

If you didn’t catch my appearances on Fox Business last week, they are now viewable on YouTube:

First appearance, part 1: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vQ_5S0bbjwU

First appearance, part 2: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=avQosIzdgXw

Second appearance with Neil Cavuto: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UdewQcAhQI

Peak Oil: Living on the Banks of Denial

May 2, 2008 at 4:45 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

This week I had the privilege of appearing twice on Fox Business to discuss high oil prices and record profits for Big Oil. I don’t have the video online yet, but when I do, I’ll post it here.

I discussed the first appearance in my Energy and Capital article this week, which you can read below.

The appearances are part of the promotional effort for my new book, Profit from the Peak, which I hope you’ll all pick up and read!

As always, I welcome your feedback.

Cheers,
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Profit from the Peak

May 2, 2008 at 4:34 am
Contributed by: Chris


Profit from the Peak: The End of Oil and the Greatest Investment Event of the Century
by Chris Nelder
This is my first book, released in April 2008. It discusses peak oil in depth, then moves on to examine the possible peaking scenarios for all sources of energy, and recommends investing angles on each one.

Colin Campbell, co-founder of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO), called it “the best job I have seen in describing the Peak Oil issue in a sound and very understandable way.”

It’s packed with data and charts, and should be a useful resource for peak oil newbies and experts alike.

I encourage you to pick up a copy and let me know what you think!

High Gasoline Prices Are Here to Stay

April 25, 2008 at 12:44 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

In my latest article for Energy and Capital I take a close look at what’s really behind “high” gas prices, and debunk some myths. I hope you find it educational.
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Commodities Soar as Stocks Sink

April 15, 2008 at 7:19 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

It looks like blog is once again sending out email, after not working for a while. So if you haven’t already, you might want to check in to GRL and see what you missed!

Here’s my follow-up to last week’s article on good commodity investments that can help hedge your losses in energy, food, and stocks. Originally published at Energy and Capital.

–C
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Grain’s Gains: Profits or Pains?

April 11, 2008 at 3:30 am
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Here’s my latest article, originally published at Energy and Capital. Here’s the blurb: “Skyrocketing grain prices raise the specter of famine, but commodities can be a safe haven for investors.”

–C
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Market Outlook Part 3: The Bread Also Rises

April 7, 2008 at 12:50 pm
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Here’s the final part of this market outlook series. This part deals with energy, weather and higher food prices. See also Part 1: I’m Changing My Name to JPMorgan and Part 2: Skyrocketing Fossil Fuel Prices Favor Renewables.
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Market Outlook Part 2: Energy

April 6, 2008 at 12:48 pm
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Here’s part 2 of my market outlook series. In Part 1, I’m Changing My Name to JPMorgan, I looked at the subprime crisis, the dollar, and how the financial landscape has affected commodity prices. In this part, I dig deeper into each major source of energy, and look at the fundamentals that are driving their skyrocketing costs.
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Market Outlook, Part 1: I’m Changing My Name to JPMorgan

March 28, 2008 at 8:41 am
Contributed by: Chris

Well howdy friends!

It’s been far too long since I blogged. Did you miss me?

For the last many months, I have been hard at work on two books with my colleagues.

The first–Profit from the Peak with Brian Hicks–is now off to the printer, and will be available late April-early May. In it, I do a detailed study of peak oil theory, then move on to examining the peaking profiles of every major form of traditional energy, and conclude with a close look at the renewables market, including investing angles on all of the above. Check it out!

The second, Investing in Renewable Energy: Making Money on Green Chip Stocks with Jeff Siegel, will be out in the fall of this year (details forthcoming). As the title suggests, it is a detailed study of renewable energy and related investing opportunities.

After those intensive research labors, it’s a pleasure to return to writing regular updates for you all, and to take a more active role in writing for Angel Publishing’s newsletters.

My first piece is a monster, so they broke it into three parts. Here’s Part 1.

Drop me a line anytime, I love to hear from my longtime GRL readers!
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R.I.P. Dr. Ali Morteza Samsam Bakhtiari

November 23, 2007 at 3:01 pm
Contributed by:

Folks,

News is just reaching the peak oil world that Dr. Ali Morteza Samsam Bakhtiari, former senior expert to the Iranian national oil company and a member of the Oil Depletion Analysis Centre passed away last month at the age of 61. At this point I have found no information on the cause of death, or why it took three weeks for the news to reach us.

As my longtime readers know, he was one of my very favorite commentators, with a deep understanding of petroleum geology and a fine capacity for insight and the well-turned phrase. I shall greatly miss his contributions to the world dialogue on energy.

For those who aren’t aware of his work, here are a few things to explore.

Dr. Ali Bakhtiari’s Four Phases of Transition

Other GRL ariticles mentioning his comments

A “personal clarification” on his affiliation with the peak oil community at his Web site

A thread on TheOilDrum about it.


A short 2004 commentary on himself from here:

Dear Barbara,

First and foremost, thank you for your best wishes for the future of Iran and the very brave Iranian people. They deserve it.

Secondly, allow me to correct a misconception: I am not an eminent NIOC personality. The present company officials simply detest me (all of ‘them’) and are doing their utmost to have me quit (after 33 years of service, mainly not to pay me my final bonus and retirement); they certainly couldn’t care less about ‘peak oil’ — and this is as far I can go in a public forum. I leave it to your imagination to envision the rest…

1) I really don’t know how it came about that I am the only OPEC (and Middle Eastern) expert on
‘peak oil’. Certainly neither political leaders nor company officials ever guided or encouraged me unto this path (to the contrary). I kind of stumbled on Dr. Campbell’s work in 1995 (his days at PetroConsultants) and since … I have come all this long way (thanks mainly to the Internet). I still have to take from my personal yearly leave of absence and find a sponsor in order to be able attend international conferences. I finance part of my research out of “Letter from Tehran” income.

2) I really don’t know why I am so singular within OPEC (although I am not a very common individual, with a eventful past). Maybe the others are told to shut up and do so for their own good (and benefits). I will always speak out.

Well, I hope you were able to read between the lines, because although none of ‘them’ speaks or reads English, someone (among the Western puppet-masters) might call ‘them’ to attention. Now, the seemingly apparent contradictions might be beginning to make some sense.”

Radio interview on Invest Express

November 12, 2007 at 2:29 pm
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

I did another interview with the Invest Express radio talk show on the Business TalkRadio network today. We discussed oil prices, the recent high stock valuations in the solar sector, and the new “Tupi” offshore oil discovery in Brazil.

You can download the interview here.

–C

Peak Oil on the History Channel

November 8, 2007 at 9:48 am
Contributed by:

Folks,


You might want to tune in for a peak oil documentary on the History Channel next Tuesday night. This might be the first time that a real peak oil documentary has made it to a mainstream cable channel.


What Happens When Demand for Oil Outstrips Supply? … and There’s No ‘Plan B’


Source: PRNewswire PRESS RELEASE


Publication date: 2007-11-07


LOS ANGELES, Nov. 7 /PRNewswire/ — This week, the price of crude oil is trading at a shocking $96 a barrel. By year’s end, analysts predict petroleum will reach $100. And it’s not going to stop there. The world we’ve created runs on oil. But energy experts say the world is running out of oil. Much faster than previously thought. Demand will continue to outpace supplies, shortages are inevitable, and the price will only continue to rise dramatically — causing a ripple effect of disastrous economic, social and political consequences.

On Tuesday night, November 13th, (at 11 p.m. EST/PST – 10 p.m. CST), the History Channel will present Megadisasters: Oil Apocalypse, a documentary that Los Angeles-based filmmaker Martin Kent is calling “a wake up call,” about the world’s energy crisis. “We can no longer count on getting all the gasoline we need — and there’s no plan B.”

By “plan B,” Kent is referring to a coordinated system of alternative energies laid out in his film, that could replace our addiction and dependence on oil, if society mobilizes quickly to make it happen. It’s long been known that oil is a finite, non-renewable resource, that pollutes the environment, and now mankind is coming to realize that it is also most likely causing climate change. With China and India rapidly industrializing, creating an energy-hungry middle class, demand for oil will increase from the world’s current consumption of 84 million barrels a day, to 100 million barrels within the next 5 years. Unfortunately, while oil producers and refiners are scrambling to develop new techniques and sources of production, as yet there are no sure means to meet the growing demand.

Oil Apocalypse presents a terrifying set of scenarios. True to the laws of supply and demand, we are fast approaching the breaking point, when the imbalance could destabilize the economies and infrastructures of virtually every nation on the planet. The worst-case scenario, say experts in the film, is a worldwide depression, which could lead to a world war. Still, they say it’s not too late. But we have to act fast. Says Kent: “My hope is that upon seeing this film, everyone will be inspired to become an energy activist — instead of sitting back and hoping that the scientists and leaders will somehow pull everything together and fix this in the eleventh hour. The time to act is now.”


Energy experts appearing on camera in Oil Apocalypse include authors Richard Heinberg, Matthew Simmons, David Goodstein, Kenneth Deffeyes, Michael Economides and Christine Woodside; Oppenheimer energy analyst Fadel Gheit, PFC Energy chairman J. Robinson West, RAND Corp.’s James Bartis and U.S. Congressman Roscoe Bartlett. Megadisasters: Oil Apocalypse is a Creative Differences, Inc. production.

Notes from the 2007 ASPO-USA Peak Oil Conference

October 22, 2007 at 6:18 pm
Contributed by: Chris

Folks,

Last week I had the privilege of attending the Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO) Third Annal Oil Conference in Houston, where I saw presentations from some of the best and brightest in the industry. I am posting my notes (47 pages) here for the benefit of others. I hope you find them useful.
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